Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

SMART-SLE: serology monitoring and repeat testing in systemic lupus erythematosus—an analysis of anti-double-stranded DNA monitoring

Rheumatology (Oxford)Published Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Absolute value and change in anti-dsDNA titres predict flares, including in persistently anti-dsDNA positive patients.

Study context

Population
SLE patients in a multinational longitudinal cohort with known anti-dsDNA results, 2013–2021
Participants
3,484 patients37,582 visits
Exposure
Anti-dsDNA ratio to normal cut-off >3 and >2-fold change from previous visit, by anti-dsDNA pattern (persistently negative, fluctuating, persistently positive)
  • Persistently positiven = 1,029
  • Fluctuatingn = 1,195
Outcome
Subsequent flare
Methodological detailsmultinational, longitudinal, Cox regression
  • Multinational
  • Longitudinal
  • Cox regression

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Flare with anti-dsDNA ratio to normal cut-off >3
Ratio >3
Adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)P value
Persistently positive
1.56(1.30–1.87)
P < 0.001
Fluctuating
1.46(1.28–1.66)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Flare with >2-fold increase or decrease in anti-dsDNA vs previous visit

aHR (95% CI)P value
Fluctuating1.33 (1.08–1.65)P = 0.008
Persistently positive1.36 (1.08–1.71)P = 0.009

Original publication

SMART-SLE: serology monitoring and repeat testing in systemic lupus erythematosus—an analysis of anti-double-stranded DNA monitoring. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 19 May 2023. doi:10.1093/rheumatology/kead231

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