Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Four trajectories of 24-hour urine protein levels in real-world lupus nephritis cohorts

RMD OpenPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Four trajectories of LN shed some light to guide the management of LN and further clinical trials design.

Study context

Population
Two lupus nephritis (LN) cohorts that underwent renal biopsies at Renji Hospital, receiving standard of care in a real-world settingderivation cohort
Participants
194 participants
Exposure
Four 24hUP trajectories: Rapid Responders vs Good Responders vs Suboptimal Responders vs Non-Responders
Outcome
Trajectory patterns of 24hUP (latent class mixed modelling (LCMM))
Methodological detailslatent class mixed modelling, multinomial logistic regression, derivation and validation cohorts, nomogram development
  • Latent class mixed modelling
  • Multinomial logistic regression
  • Derivation and validation cohorts
  • Nomogram development

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

KDIGO renal complete remission rate (time to complete remission, months) by trajectory
GroupValueTime to complete remission, months
Rapid Responders84.2%4.19
Good Responders79.6%7.94
Suboptimal Responders40.4%not applicable
Non-Responders9.8%not applicable

Value

Rapid Responders84.2%
Good Responders79.6%
Suboptimal Responders40.4%
Non-Responders9.8%

Time to complete remission, months

Rapid Responders4.19
Good Responders7.94
Suboptimal Respondersnot applicable
Non-Respondersnot applicable
Difference across four trajectories
P < 0.001

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Nomogram predicting Rapid Responders (age, SLE duration, albumin, 24hUP)

C-indices
>0.85

Nomogram predicting Good Responders (gender, new-onset LN, glomerulosclerosis, partial remission within 6 months)

C-indices
0.73~0.78

Validation cohort (117 patients, 500 study visits)

Nomograms effectively sorted out 'Rapid Responders' and 'Good Responders'

Original publication

Four trajectories of 24-hour urine protein levels in real-world lupus nephritis cohorts. RMD Open. Published 19 May 2023. doi:10.1136/rmdopen-2022-002930

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