Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Clinical utility of a multianalyte lupus risk score incorporating cell-bound complement activation products: a systematic evaluation

Lupus Sci MedPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

The MAP index integrating CB-CAPs demonstrated markedly superior diagnostic accuracy and generalisability compared with conventional serological tests alone.

Study context

Population
Individuals from US clinical cohorts, 2011–2025: SLE meeting 1997 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) classification criteria, healthy controls and disease controls1,210 SLE, 687 healthy, 1235 disease controls
Participants
3,132 individuals
Comparison
Multianalyte Assay Panel (MAP) index integrating cell-bound complement activation products (CB-CAPs) vs CB-CAPs alone, anti-double-stranded DNA (anti-dsDNA)/Smith and complement C3/C4
Outcome
Diagnostic accuracy (DOR, likelihood ratios (LRs), sensitivity/specificity) for SLE
Methodological detailssystematic analysis, multiple US clinical cohorts
  • Systematic analysis
  • Multiple US clinical cohorts

Performance

As reported in the abstract

DOR vs healthy controls
Test or modelDOR
MAP index105.0
CB-CAPs alone56.8
anti-dsDNA/Smith31.8
C3/C48.2

DOR

MAP index105.0
CB-CAPs alone56.8
anti-dsDNA/Smith31.8
C3/C48.2

Further findings

OutcomeMAP indexCB-CAPs aloneanti-dsDNA/SmithC3/C4ORP value
DOR vs disease controls
DOR22.320.313.78.8
Likelihood ratios
LR+33.7— not stated in the abstract— not stated in the abstract— not stated in the abstract
LR-0.3— not stated in the abstract— not stated in the abstract— not stated in the abstract
Sensitivity within SLE cohortMAP index vs anti-dsDNA27.5all adjusted p<0.001
Sensitivity within SLE cohortMAP index vs B lymphocyte-bound C4d20.8all adjusted p<0.001
Sensitivity within SLE cohortMAP index vs erythrocyte-bound C4d14.6all adjusted p<0.001

— not stated in the abstract

  • DOR vs disease controls: abstract prints: performance of CB-CAPs alone, anti-dsDNA/Smith and C3/C4 remained superior (DOR=22.3 vs 20.3, 13.7 and 8.8)

Likelihood ratios

MAP index yielded the highest LR+ and lowest LR-

Additional SLE cases identified vs conventional markers

More SLE cases identified than conventional markers (serologies and complement)
24.5%
Patients with negative serologies and normal complement, reduced from
52.0%
Patients with negative serologies and normal complement, reduced to
27.5%

Original publication

Clinical utility of a multianalyte lupus risk score incorporating cell-bound complement activation products: a systematic evaluation. Lupus Sci Med. Published 29 May 2026. doi:10.1136/lupus-2026-002002

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