Systemic sclerosis & Raynaud's

Radiomic analysis of high-resolution computed tomography predicts interstitial lung disease progression and mortality in systemic sclerosis

Rheumatology (Oxford)Published Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The PVV% and the extent of honeycombing independently predict mortality and ILD progression, respectively.

Study context

Population
SSc-ILD patients with baseline and follow-up high-resolution CT (HRCT) scans267 (85%) in mortality analysis
Participants
313 patients
Outcome
All-cause mortality and ILD progression predicted by HRCT-derived radiomic features
Methodological detailsradiomic prognostic analysis, automated lung texture analysis (LTA, Imbio), univariable and multivariable Cox regression, generalized estimating equation models
  • Radiomic prognostic analysis
  • Automated lung texture analysis (LTA, Imbio)
  • Univariable and multivariable Cox regression
  • Generalized estimating equation models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Deaths over 42 (IQR 27-110) months of follow-up
65 (24%)
Pulmonary vessel volume (PVV)% independently predicted mortality, adjusted HR
1.21 (1.094-1.354) (95% CI)
PVV% in upper zones and mortality, adjusted HR
1.28 (1.11-1.46) (95% CI)
Whole-lung honeycombing, only independent radiomic predictor of interstitial lung disease (ILD) progression, aOR
1.53 (1.17-2.01) (95% CI)
ILD progression episodes among 261 yearly follow-up visits from 160 patients
99 (37.7%)
Patients with at least one episode of ILD progression
50.6%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Radiomic analysis of high-resolution computed tomography predicts interstitial lung disease progression and mortality in systemic sclerosis. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 27 August 2026. doi:10.1093/rheumatology/keag463

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