Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Predicting kidney outcomes among Latin American patients with lupus nephritis: The prognostic value of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy and tubulointerstitial inflammation

LupusPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Patients with moderate-to-severe IFTA had worse kidney survival than those with none or mild IFTA. Worse kidney survival was also found among those with class IV LN and fibrous crescents versus those without IV LN and fibrous crescents, respectively.

Study context

Population
Latin American patients with biopsy-proven lupus nephritis (LN)
Participants
285 patients
Exposure
Moderate-to-severe interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) vs none or mild IFTA
Outcome
Kidney survival: time from initial biopsy to ESKD, dialysis or transplant
Methodological detailsKaplan-Meier with log-rank test, competing-risk analysis, multivariable Cox regression
  • Kaplan-Meier with log-rank test
  • Competing-risk analysis
  • Multivariable Cox regression

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Kidney survival by IFTA
  • Moderate-to-severe IFTA had worse kidney survival than none or mild IFTA
  • Moderate-to-severe IFTA vs None or mild IFTA: P = 0.018
  • Moderate-to-severe IFTA vs None or mild IFTA: P = 0.017

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Predictors of end-stage kidney disease (ESKD), multivariable Cox regression

HR (95% CI)
Older ageAdjusted for sex, ethnicity, TII, and IFTA1.04 (1.01–1.07)
Class IV ± V LNAdjusted for sex, ethnicity, TII, and IFTA5.06 (1.82–14.09)

Predictors of ESKD, competing-risk analyses

SHR (95% CI)
Class IV ± V LN3.32 (1.25–8.83)
No response to immunosuppressive therapy4.55 (1.54–13.41)
OutcomeSHR (95% CI)
Predictors of ESKD, competing-risk analyseseGFR >90 mL/min/1.73 m² · for each ml/min/1.73 m²; lower risk0.98 (0.97–0.99)
OutcomeP value
Kidney survival, class IV ± V LN vs non-class IV LNClass IV ± V LN vs Non-class IV LN · Kaplan-Meier; worse kidney survivalP = 0.050
Kidney survival, class IV ± V LN vs non-class IV LNClass IV ± V LN vs Non-class IV LN · competing-risk analysis; not significantP = 0.154
Kidney survival, fibrous crescents vs noneFibrous crescents vs No fibrous crescents · Kaplan-Meier; worse kidney survivalP = 0.010
Kidney survival, fibrous crescents vs noneFibrous crescents vs No fibrous crescents · competing-risk analysisP = 0.011

Progression to ESKD (whole cohort) · median 4.2 (2.0-55.2) months after biopsy

Progressed to ESKD
57 (20%)

Prevalence of tubulointerstitial inflammation (TII) and IFTA in biopsies

TII present
206 (72.3%)
IFTA present
99 (34.7%)

Original publication

Predicting kidney outcomes among Latin American patients with lupus nephritis: The prognostic value of interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy and tubulointerstitial inflammation. Lupus. Published 17 January 2023. doi:10.1177/09612033231151597

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