Pediatric rheumatology

Atherosclerosis Progression in the Atherosclerosis Prevention in Pediatric Lupus Erythematosus (APPLE) Trial Can Be Predicted in Young People With Juvenile‐Onset Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Using a Novel Lipid Metabolomic Signature

Arthritis RheumatolPublished Secondary analysis of the APPLE randomised trial

Authors' conclusion

Significant baseline heterogeneity and distinct subclinical atherosclerosis progression trajectories exist in JSLE. Metabolomic signatures can predict atherosclerosis progression in some patients with JSLE with relevance for clinical trial stratification.

Study context

Population
Young people with juvenile-onset SLE in the APPLE trial
Participants
151 people
Comparison
High vs low carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) progression in JSLE; atorvastatin vs placebo
  • Atorvastatinn = 61
  • Placebon = 60reference
Primary endpoint
CIMT progression
Follow-up
36 months
Methodological detailsunsupervised clustering, machine learning, metabolomic
  • Unsupervised clustering
  • Machine learning
  • Metabolomic

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

GroupAUC (baseline metabolomic signature predicting high CIMT progression)
Placebo80.7%

Placebo

AUC (baseline metabolomic signature predicting high CIMT progression)80.7%
Atorvastatin: high atherosclerosis progression despite reduced low-density lipoprotein (LDL) cholesterol, not predicted by metabolomic biomarkers
36%

Further findings

OutcomeP value
Total cholesterol, high vs low CIMT progression (placebo)Higher in high progression, within reference rangeP = 0.001
LDL cholesterol, high vs low CIMT progression (placebo)Higher in high progression, within reference rangeP = 0.002

Original publication

Atherosclerosis Progression in the APPLE Trial Can Be Predicted in Young People With Juvenile‐Onset Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Using a Novel Lipid Metabolomic Signature. Arthritis Rheumatol. Published 19 December 2023. doi:10.1002/art.42722

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