Vasculitis & polymyalgia rheumatica

Score to assess the probability of relapse in granulomatosis with polyangiitis and microscopic polyangiitis

RMD OpenPublished Prognostic score development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

The FRS can be used at diagnosis to assess the relapse risk in patients with GPA or MPA.

Study context

Population
Granulomatosis with polyangiitis (GPA) and microscopic polyangiitis (MPA) patients from five consecutive RCTs (long-term follow-up); validated in an independent GPA/MPA cohort203 GPA, 224 MPA
Participants
427 participants
Comparison
FRS 0 vs 1 vs 2 vs 3 points
Outcome
Relapse (death as competing event)
Methodological detailspooled data from five randomised controlled trials, competing-risks model, independent validation cohort
  • Pooled data from five randomised controlled trials
  • Competing-risks model
  • Independent validation cohort

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Variables at diagnosis associated with relapse risk

PR3 positivity, HR (95% CI 1.28 to 2.57); p<0.001

1.81

Age ≤75 years, HR (95% CI 1.15 to 3.13); p=0.012

1.89

Estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥30 mL/min/1.73 m², HR (95% CI 1.18 to 2.33); p=0.004

1.67

Patients with ≥1 relapse (48.5%), mean±SD follow-up 80.6±51.3 months

207

Further findings

5-year relapse risk by FRS, validation cohort (n=209)

Original publication

Score to assess the probability of relapse in granulomatosis with polyangiitis and microscopic polyangiitis. RMD Open. Published 27 March 2023. doi:10.1136/rmdopen-2022-002953

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