Autoinflammatory & rare systemic diseases

Predictive factors for therapeutic response and cluster analysis in syndrome of undifferentiated recurrent fever (SURF)

RMD OpenPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

These findings provide new insights into SURF, identifying predictors of colchicine resistance and supporting the efficacy of IL-1 blockade.

Study context

Population
Patients with syndrome of undifferentiated recurrent fever (SURF) in the Eurofever Registry, excluding PFAPA, FMF and other known monogenic recurrent feverscolchicine efficacy assessed in 77
Participants
101 patients
Outcome
Factors associated with colchicine resistance
Methodological detailsregistry-based (Eurofever Registry), longitudinal, cluster analysis, univariable and multivariable analysis
  • Registry-based (Eurofever Registry)
  • Longitudinal
  • Cluster analysis
  • Univariable and multivariable analysis

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Complete response to colchicine (of 77 assessed)
61%
Aphthous stomatitis associated with colchicine resistance (univariable)
p=0.001
Cervical lymphadenopathy associated with colchicine resistance (univariable)
p=0.012
Exudative tonsillitis associated with colchicine resistance (univariable)
p=0.004
Aphthous stomatitis independent predictor of resistance (multivariable)
p=0.014

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Other treatments and clustering

Cluster analysis revealed three distinct subgroups with varying symptoms and colchicine responses
3
Tonsillectomy was ineffective
IL-1 inhibitors (anakinra, canakinumab) beneficial in refractory cases

Original publication

Predictive factors for therapeutic response and cluster analysis in syndrome of undifferentiated recurrent fever (SURF). RMD Open. Published 10 August 2025. doi:10.1136/rmdopen-2025-005874

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