Systemic sclerosis & Raynaud's
Prediction of damage trajectories in systemic sclerosis using group-based trajectory modelling
Authors' conclusion
A simple model using only cutaneous subset, baseline DI and sex can predict damage accumulation in early SSc.
Study context
- Population
- SSc patients with <2 years disease duration; derivation cohort from Canada and Australia, validation cohort from the Netherlands
- Comparison
- lcSSc vs dcSSc
- Outcome
- Prediction of inclusion in 'good' or 'bad' damage (Damage Index (DI)) trajectories
Methodological detailsgroup-based trajectory modelling, derivation and validation cohorts
- Group-based trajectory modelling
- Derivation and validation cohorts
Performance
As reported in the abstract
| Test or model | ROC AUC |
|---|---|
| lcSSc | 0.9313 |
| dcSSc | 0.9027 |
ROC AUC
lcSSc0.9313
dcSSc0.9027
Original publication
Prediction of damage trajectories in systemic sclerosis using group-based trajectory modelling. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 10 January 2023. doi:10.
Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →