Rheumatoid arthritis

Expanded blood PD-1hi Tfh cells in seropositive clinically suspect arthralgia predict progression to rheumatoid arthritis

Rheumatology (Oxford)Published Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Seropositive CSA patients display elevated baseline cTfh and cTph frequencies. Higher cTfh proportions associate with progression to RA.

Study context

Population
Individuals with clinically suspect arthralgia (CSA, EULAR definition), followed until rheumatoid arthritis (RA) onset or for up to 48 months
Exposure
Seropositive and seronegative CSA vs healthy controls (HC); progressors vs non-progressors
  • Seropositive CSAn = 33
  • Seronegative CSAn = 37
Outcome
Circulating Tfh (cTfh) and Tph (cTph) cell frequencies in CSA
Follow-up
Baseline
Methodological detailsnon-interventional, age- and gender-matched healthy controls, flow cytometry
  • Non-interventional
  • Age- and gender-matched healthy controls
  • Flow cytometry

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Baseline cTfh and cTph frequencies
  • Seropositive CSA vs HC: expanded frequencies of circulating Tfh (cTfh) and cTph cells
  • Seronegative CSA vs HC: not expanded

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Baseline cTfh and cTph in seropositive CSA, progressors vs non-progressors

Progressors to RA had higher baseline cTfh and cTph frequencies than non-progressors

cTfh frequency >0.66% predicting progression to RA

Sensitivity
72%
Specificity
85%

cTph and cTfh at RA onset, seropositive progressors (n = 19)

Further increase in cTph, but not cTfh, frequency

Original publication

Expanded blood PD-1hi Tfh cells in seropositive clinically suspect arthralgia predict progression to rheumatoid arthritis. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 4 December 2025. doi:10.1093/rheumatology/keaf648

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