Vasculitis & polymyalgia rheumatica

Computable phenotype for real-world, data-driven retrospective identification of relapse in ANCA-associated vasculitis

RMD OpenPublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

This CP accurately quantifies the individualised probability of relapse in AAV retrospectively, using objective, readily accessible registry data.

Study context

Population
Patients with ANCA-associated vasculitis (AAV) and >6 months follow-up recruited to the Rare Kidney Disease registry (national longitudinal, multicentre cohort study)1,209 development and 377 validation encounters
Participants
536 patients
Comparison
Computable phenotype vs ground truth from independent encounter adjudication of primary medical records
Outcome
Accuracy (F1-score, sensitivity, specificity) of the CP for retrospective identification of relapse
Methodological detailscomputable phenotype development and internal validation, multilevel regression modelling, multicentre registry cohort, retrospective, Web application developed for computable phenotype (CP) implementation, outputting an individualised probability of relapse
  • Computable phenotype development and internal validation
  • Multilevel regression modelling
  • Multicentre registry cohort
  • Retrospective
  • Web application developed for CP implementation, outputting an individualised probability of relapse

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Relapse identification, validation
Test or modelF1-scoreSensitivitySpecificity
CP0.85 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.92)0.89 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.99)0.96 (95% CI 0.93 to 0.99)

CP

F1-score0.85 (95% CI 0.77 to 0.92)
Sensitivity0.89 (95% CI 0.80 to 0.99)
Specificity0.96 (95% CI 0.93 to 0.99)

Further findings

Models handling missingness

Where DE5 was missing, DE2 plus either DE1/DE3 were required to match the accuracy of BVAS

Original publication

Computable phenotype for real-world, data-driven retrospective identification of relapse in ANCA-associated vasculitis. RMD Open. Published 30 April 2024. doi:10.1136/rmdopen-2023-003962

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