Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Air Pollution, Genetic Susceptibility, and Risk of Incident Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: A Prospective Cohort Study

Arthritis RheumatolPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Long-term exposure to air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, and NOx) may increase the risk of developing SLE.

Study context

Population
UK Biobank participants399 incident systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE)
Participants
459,815 participants
Exposure
Long-term exposure to air pollutants (PM2.5, PM10, NO2, NOx), per IQR increase; joint effects with genetic risk
Outcome
Incident SLE
Methodological detailsUK Biobank, land-use regression model, Cox proportional hazards model, polygenic risk score
  • UK Biobank
  • Land-use regression model
  • Cox proportional hazards model
  • Polygenic risk score

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident SLE per IQR increase in air pollutant · median follow-up 11.77 years
Adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI)
PM2.5 (per IQR increase)
1.18(1.06–1.32)
PM10 (per IQR increase)
1.23(1.10–1.39)
NO2 (per IQR increase)
1.27(1.14–1.41)
NOx (per IQR increase)
1.13(1.03–1.23)

Per IQR increase, as printed

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeEstimate
Incident SLE, joint effect of high genetic risk and high air pollution exposureHigh genetic risk and high air pollution exposurevs Low genetic risk and low air pollution exposureaHR (PM2.5) 4.16 (95% CI 2.67–6.49)
Incident SLE, joint effect of high genetic risk and high air pollution exposureHigh genetic risk and high air pollution exposurevs Low genetic risk and low air pollution exposureaHR (PM10) 5.31 (95% CI 3.30,–8.55)
Incident SLE, joint effect of high genetic risk and high air pollution exposureHigh genetic risk and high air pollution exposurevs Low genetic risk and low air pollution exposureaHR (NO2) 5.61 (95% CI 3.45–9.13)
Incident SLE, joint effect of high genetic risk and high air pollution exposureHigh genetic risk and high air pollution exposurevs Low genetic risk and low air pollution exposureaHR (NOx) 4.80 (95% CI 3.00–7.66)

Interaction between NO2 and polygenic risk score (PRS)

Significant multiplicative interaction between NO2 and PRS

Original publication

Air Pollution, Genetic Susceptibility, and Risk of Incident Systemic Lupus Erythematosus: A Prospective Cohort Study. Arthritis Rheumatol. Published 10 July 2024. doi:10.1002/art.42929

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