Fibromyalgia & musculoskeletal pain

Web search trends on fibromyalgia: development of a machine learning model

Clin Exp RheumatolPublished Infodemiological time-series study with machine learning modelling

Authors' conclusion

Understanding online search behaviour can enhance FM education.

Study context

Population
Online fibromyalgia (FM)-related search behaviour, Google Trends 2020–2024, sixteen countries16 countries
Outcome
Online search interest in FM: temporal trends and machine learning prediction of search interest
Methodological detailsGoogle Trends data, sixteen countries, Mann-Kendall trend test, seasonal decomposition, Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) forecasting, Random Forest and XGBoost, SHAP feature importance
  • Google Trends data
  • Sixteen countries
  • Mann-Kendall trend test
  • Seasonal decomposition
  • ARIMA forecasting
  • Random Forest and XGBoost
  • SHAP feature importance

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

FM search interest across countries · 2020-2024
  • Highest engagement: China, the UK, the USA and Canada; lowest: Peru, Spain and Turkey
  • Rising search trends: Brazil, Italy and the UK; declines: Argentina, Canada, Greece and the USA
  • Seasonal mid-year peaks in Brazil and Italy; late autumn increases in Turkey
  • ARIMA forecast for 2025: stable or increasing in Brazil, Canada and Mexico; slight declines in Germany and Venezuela
  • Machine learning: short-term search history (previous day, week, month volumes) the most influential predictor

Original publication

Web search trends on fibromyalgia: development of a machine learning model. Clin Exp Rheumatol. Published 25 April 2025. doi:10.55563/clinexprheumatol/05r0ib

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