Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

The Renal Activity Index for Lupus: Validation for Prediction of Kidney Inflammation in Adult Patients With Lupus Nephritis

J RheumatolPublished Secondary analysis of the ALLURE randomised trial

Authors' conclusion

RAIL scores identify active LN and longitudinally predict the course of adult LN.

Study context

Population
Adults with active biopsy-proven proliferative lupus nephritis (LN) in the ALLURE trial of abatacept599 samples
Participants
240 adults
Comparison
Renal Activity Index for Lupus (RAIL) score vs urine protein/creatinine ratio (UPCR) and eGFR for discriminating renal response states
Primary endpoint
Accuracy of RAIL score (urine biomarker-derived) to capture and predict course of active LN
Follow-up
Up to week 52
Methodological detailsdouble-blind, randomized, serial urine samples up to week 52, mixed model analysis
  • Double-blind
  • Randomized
  • Serial urine samples up to week 52
  • Mixed model analysis

Primary result

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination of CRR from other renal response states

RAIL score, corrected for baseline UPCR and eGFR, current visit: AUC

0.83-0.84

RAIL score, corrected for baseline UPCR and eGFR, next visit: AUC

0.84-0.85

eGFR alone: poor accuracy to discriminate renal response, AUC

< 0.51

Further findings

OutcomeCRRPRR-onlyNR
Patients by renal response state at weeks 12/24/5227/33/18 events44/22/15 events127/61/15 events

RAIL scores, eGFR and UPCR over time

Improved over time irrespective of abatacept use, but significantly lower with complete renal response (CRR) compared to nonresponse (NR)

Original publication

The Renal Activity Index for Lupus: Validation for Prediction of Kidney Inflammation in Adult Patients With Lupus Nephritis. J Rheumatol. Published 15 November 2025. doi:10.3899/jrheum.2025-0504

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