Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Serum Soluble Mediator Signatures of Lupus Nephritis: Histologic Features and Response to Treatment

Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken)Published Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Serum soluble mediators, particularly syndecan-1 and VCAM-1, reflect LN histologic activity, and early decreases predict treatment response, supporting their potential use as noninvasive longitudinal biomarkers.

Study context

Population
Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) undergoing clinically indicated kidney biopsies (UPCR ≥ 0.5), Accelerating Medicines Partnership (AMP) RA and SLE Network268 SLE patients
Participants
160 / 96 / 22
Exposure
Proliferative lupus nephritis (LN) vs nonproliferative LN; serum mediator changes vs 12-month treatment response
  • Proliferative LNn = 160
  • Nonproliferative LNn = 96reference
  • Healthy controlsn = 22
Outcome
Serum mediator predictors of proliferative LN (class III/IV ± V) and of 12-month treatment response (complete/partial vs no response)
Methodological detailsmulticentre, biomarker study, bootstrapped least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression, logistic regression, molecular clustering, 66 immune mediators quantified by xMAP multiplex assays; TACE by ELISA; 7 mediators with >95% values below detection limits excluded
  • Multicentre
  • Biomarker study
  • Bootstrapped LASSO regression
  • Logistic regression
  • Molecular clustering
  • 66 immune mediators quantified by xMAP multiplex assays; TACE by ELISA; 7 mediators with >95% values below detection limits excluded

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of proliferative LN by 20 LASSO-selected baseline mediators · biopsy

AUC of 20-mediator model for proliferative LN

0.82

95% CI 0.81–0.91

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Prediction of 12-month treatment response in proliferative LN · 3-month changes; 12-month response

Model with syndecan-1 and VCAM-1 reductions and UPCR decline
0.90 (95% CI, 0.82-0.98)
3-month reductions in syndecan-1 and VCAM-1 predicted 12-month treatment response

Molecular clustering of mediator profiles

Distinct LN subgroups with unique soluble mediator signatures and clinical features not captured by histology alone
4

Original publication

Serum Soluble Mediator Signatures of Lupus Nephritis: Histologic Features and Response to Treatment. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). Published 3 December 2025. doi:10.1002/acr.25652

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