Osteoarthritis

Serum proteomic biomarkers diagnostic of knee osteoarthritis

Osteoarthritis CartilagePublished Diagnostic accuracy study

Authors' conclusion

No more than 8 serum protein biomarkers were required to discriminate knee OA from non-OA.

Study context

Population
Baseline sera: National Institutes of Health (NIH) cohort Kellgren-Lawrence (KL) grade 1–3 knee osteoarthritis (OA) participants and Johnston County OA Project multi-joint controls free of radiographic OA of hands, hips, knees (bilateral KL=0) and spine596 OA · spine 127
Comparison
Knee OA vs multi-joint non-OA controls
Outcome
Diagnosis of knee OA vs non-OA: ROC-AUC and PR-AUC
Methodological detailsmultiple reaction monitoring mass spectrometry, two cohorts, 70% training / 30% testing split, random forest selection, multivariable logistic regression
  • Multiple reaction monitoring mass spectrometry
  • Two cohorts
  • 70% training / 30% testing split
  • Random forest selection
  • Multivariable logistic regression

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination of knee OA from non-OA
Test or modelROC-AUC (testing set)PR-AUC (testing set)ROC-AUCPR-AUC
Final model (8 serum peptides)0.833 (95% CI 0.751, 0.905)0.929 (95% CI 0.876, 0.973)— not stated in the abstract— not stated in the abstract
ACTG— not stated in the abstract— not stated in the abstract0.7050.897
Body mass index (BMI)— not stated in the abstract— not stated in the abstract0.570.812

ROC-AUC (testing set)

Final model (8 serum peptides)0.833 (95% CI 0.751, 0.905)
ACTG— not stated in the abstract
Body mass index (BMI)— not stated in the abstract

PR-AUC (testing set)

Final model (8 serum peptides)0.929 (95% CI 0.876, 0.973)
ACTG— not stated in the abstract
Body mass index (BMI)— not stated in the abstract

ROC-AUC

Final model (8 serum peptides)— not stated in the abstract
ACTG0.705
Body mass index (BMI)0.57

PR-AUC

Final model (8 serum peptides)— not stated in the abstract
ACTG0.897
Body mass index (BMI)0.812

— not stated in the abstract

Further findings

Final model in non-symptomatic and symptomatic cases

Equally diagnostic of non-symptomatic and symptomatic cases (AUCs)
0.830-0.835

Random forest (RF) selection

Peptides selected as diagnostic of OA (with BMI)
23 peptides (19 proteins)
STRING database predicted multiple high confidence interactions of the 19 diagnostic OA proteins

Original publication

Serum proteomic biomarkers diagnostic of knee osteoarthritis. Osteoarthritis Cartilage. Published 19 September 2023. doi:10.1016/j.joca.2023.09.007

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