Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Role of Platelet‐Bound C4d (Product C4d (PC4d)) in Predicting Risk of Future Thrombotic Events in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus

Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken)Published Prognostic cohort study

Authors' conclusion

A PC4d level of >13 MFI predicted future arterial thrombosis and was associated with all thrombosis.

Study context

Population
Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE); PC4d measured by flow cytometry, thromboses confirmed by electronic medical record review19 events in 15 subjects
Participants
418 patients
Comparison
PC4d >13 mean fluorescence intensity (MFI) vs PC4d ≤13 MFI
Outcome
Future thrombosis events (arterial thrombosis)
Follow-up
3 years post-PC4d level measurement

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Future arterial thrombosis · 3 years

PC4d ≤13 MFI

99%

95% CI 97–100%

NPV

Each group vs PC4d ≤13 MFIEstimate (95% CI)P value
PC4d >13 MFI
HR 4.34(1.03–18.3)
P = 0.046
PC4d >13 MFI
diagnostic OR 4.30(1.19–15.54)

Further findings

OutcomePC4d ≤13 MFIEstimateP value
Future total thrombosis (arterial and venous) · 3 yearsDid not reach statistical significancediagnostic OR 2.50 (95% CI 0.88–7.06)P = 0.08
NPV97% (95% CI 95-99%)
All thrombosis (n = 70 historic and future arterial and venous events, 5 years pre- to 3 years post-measurement)OR 2.45 (95% CI 1.37–4.32)P = 0.0016

Original publication

Role of Platelet‐Bound C4d (PC4d) in Predicting Risk of Future Thrombotic Events in Systemic Lupus Erythematosus. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). Published 27 April 2023. doi:10.1002/acr.25107

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