Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Risk-stratified effectiveness of direct oral anticoagulants versus vitamin K antagonists in thrombotic antiphospholipid syndrome: a prospective cohort study

Lupus Sci MedPublished prospective cohort study

Main finding · Recurrent thrombosisResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 0.69 95% CI 0.27–1.75

Authors' conclusion

In this prospective cohort, no statistically significant differences in recurrent thrombosis or major bleeding were observed between rivaroxaban and warfarin. The treatment-by-triple-positivity interaction suggests that the comparative effectiveness of anticoagulants may differ according to aPL profile.

Study context

Population
Patients with thrombotic antiphospholipid syndrome (APS) treated with rivaroxaban or warfarinpatients with thrombotic APS
Participants
413 patients
Exposure
Rivaroxaban versus warfarin
  • RIVAROXABANn = 89
  • WARFARIN (VKA)n = 324reference
Outcome
Recurrent thrombosis
Methodological detailsinverse probability of treatment weighting, Cox models, prespecified subgroup analyses
  • Inverse probability of treatment weighting
  • Cox models
  • Prespecified subgroup analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Hazard ratio

0.69

95% CI 0.27–1.75

P = 0.44

Events by group

RIVAROXABAN

6.7%; 3.02/100 patient-years

6 of 89

WARFARIN (VKA)

8.0%; 3.12/100 patient-years

26 of 324

RIVAROXABANvs WARFARIN (VKA)
HR 0.69 (95% CI 0.27–1.75); P = 0.44

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeHR (95% CI)P value
Major bleedingWeighted analyses0.68 (0.15–3.03)P = 0.61
Recurrent thrombosis in triple-positive patients (n=199)Higher risk with rivaroxaban3.65 (1.10–12.13)
Recurrent thrombosis in non-triple-positive patients (n=214)Trend toward lower risk with rivaroxaban0.16 (0.02–1.17)P = 0.071

Follow-up

Follow-up — Median follow-up, months (IQR, 8.5-44.4)
25.1
  • Recurrent thrombosis in triple-positive patients (n=199): P for interaction=0.007

Rivaroxaban-treated patients with prior arterial thrombosis

Recurrent thrombotic events in those with prior arterial thrombosis
0/22
Concomitant single antiplatelet therapy, prior arterial thrombosis vs others (p<0.001)
72.7% vs 11.9%
Statins, prior arterial thrombosis vs others (p=0.002)
36.4% vs 7.5%

Original publication

Risk-stratified effectiveness of direct oral anticoagulants versus vitamin K antagonists in thrombotic antiphospholipid syndrome: a prospective cohort study. Lupus Sci Med. Published 9 November 2026. doi:10.1136/lupus-2026-002288

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