Rheumatoid arthritis

Risk of venous thromboembolism in people with RA: a population-based study in the UK

Rheumatology (Oxford)Published Population-based matched cohort study

Main finding · VTEResult — go to the resultAdjusted hazard ratio 1.46 95% CI 1.36–1.56

Authors' conclusion

Individuals with RA are at increased risk of VTE regardless of age, sex, BMI, disease duration and exposure to exogenous oestrogens.

Study context

Population
UK Oxford-RCGP RSC primary care database, 1999–2018: individuals with RA and matched individuals without RA
Participants
23,410 vs 93,640
Exposure
RA vs matched individuals without RA
  • RAn = 23,410
  • Controlsn = 93,640reference
Outcome
VTE risk
Methodological detailsmultivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards
  • Multivariable-adjusted Cox proportional hazards

Main finding

VTE

Adjusted hazard ratio

1.46

95% CI 1.36–1.56

RAvs Controls
aHR 1.46 (95% CI 1.36–1.56)

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeEstimate
VTE by age (subgroup)RA vs Controlsrelative excess risk, 18-49 years 2.13 (95% CI 1.62–2.79)
VTE by age (subgroup)RA vs Controlsrelative excess risk, 50-69 years 1.57 (95% CI 1.38–1.78)
VTE by age (subgroup)RA vs Controlsrelative excess risk, ≥70 years 1.34 (95% CI 1.14–1.60)
VTE by BMI (subgroup)RA vs Controlsrelative excess risk, BMI <25 kg/m² 1.66 (95% CI 1.39–1.98)
VTE by BMI (subgroup)RA vs Controlsrelative excess risk, BMI 25-30 kg/m² 1.60 (95% CI 1.36–1.88)
VTE by BMI (subgroup)RA vs Controlsrelative excess risk, BMI >30 kg/m² 1.41 (95% CI 1.19–1.68)

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) by age (subgroup)

Absolute risk of VTE increased with age and higher BMI

VTE by disease duration and exogenous oestrogens

VTE risk remained elevated irrespective of disease duration
Similar between women prescribed vs not prescribed oestrogen-containing contraceptives
Higher for women prescribed hormone replacement therapy (HRT) than those not prescribed HRT

Original publication

Risk of venous thromboembolism in people with RA: a population-based study in the UK. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 7 August 2025. doi:10.1093/rheumatology/keaf430

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