Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Prognostic value of baseline clinical features in SLE: a cluster analysis

Lupus Sci MedPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main findingResult — go to the resultOdds ratio 2.05 95% CI 1.01–4.16

Authors' conclusion

Cluster analysis based on clinical involvement in SLE can identify homogeneous patient subgroups and predict long-term outcomes.

Study context

Population
SLE patients fulfilling the 1997 American College of Rheumatology (ACR) classification criteria, regularly followed at the Rheumatology Clinic of Kocaeli University Hospitalmedian follow-up 168 months
Participants
199 patients
Exposure
Clinical clusters at diagnosis and at last follow-up
  • Cluster 1n = 108
  • Cluster 2n = 49
  • Cluster 3n = 42
Outcome
Clinical subgroups (clusters) at diagnosis and last follow-up and their prognostic implications for disease activity, organ damage and mortality
Methodological detailssingle-centre, cluster analysis (Gower distance, Partitioning Around Medoids)
  • Single-centre
  • Cluster analysis (Gower distance, Partitioning Around Medoids)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Odds ratio

2.05

95% CI 1.01–4.16

P = 0.046

By group

Cluster 3
OR 2.05 (95% CI 1.01–4.16); P = 0.046
Cluster 2 had highest disease activity (SLEDAI-2K)
P = 0.004

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Systemic Lupus International Collaborating Clinics (SLICC)/ACR DI (SDI) at last follow-up · median follow-up 168 months — Cluster 4'
median 4.0 (range 0–8)
SLICC/ACR DI (SDI) at last follow-up — Significantly higher SDI scores in Cluster 4'
p<0.001

Mortality

Mortality did not differ significantly between clusters

Original publication

Prognostic value of baseline clinical features in SLE: a cluster analysis. Lupus Sci Med. Published 24 June 2026. doi:10.1136/lupus-2026-002008

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