Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Predictive correlates of arthritis and joint damage in systemic lupus erythematosus: a multinational prospective cohort study

Rheumatology (Oxford)Published Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Arthritis in the APLC cohort was infrequent compared with other cohorts and was associated with smoking, higher overall disease activity, and damage accrual across multiple domains.

Study context

Population
Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients in the Asia-Pacific Lupus Collaboration (APLC) cohort, 2013–2020median 2.5 (1.0–5.1) years follow-up
Participants
4,106 patients
Outcome
Prevalence and predictive correlates of arthritis (persistent: ≥2 consecutive visits, SLEDAI-2K) and joint damage (SDI: deforming or erosive arthritis)
Methodological detailsmultinational, Cox hazard models, Kaplan-Meier analyses
  • Multinational
  • Cox hazard models
  • Kaplan-Meier analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Arthritis at least once · median 2.5 (1.0-5.1) years

Arthritis at least once

803 of 4106

19.6%

Joint damage accrued

18 of 3383

0.53%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Correlates of arthritis

Patients with arthritis more likely female, Caucasian, current smokers at enrolment, less likely tertiary education; higher overall disease activity, lower physical and mental health-related quality of life (HRQoL)

Predictors of joint damage

Joint damage more likely in patients with arthritis (Kaplan-Meier)
Persistent arthritis and longer follow-up were risk factors for joint damage accrual; high-income countries protective
Patients with joint damage had worse physical HRQoL

Original publication

Predictive correlates of arthritis and joint damage in systemic lupus erythematosus: a multinational prospective cohort study. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 11 May 2026. doi:10.1093/rheumatology/keag152

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