Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Measurements of urinary biomarkers at 2 years following a lupus nephritis flare are associated with subsequent renal outcomes

Lupus Sci MedPublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

UBs measured 24±3 months after an LN flare were associated with subsequent flares and a clinically meaningful decline in kidney function.

Study context

Population
Patients with an lupus nephritis (LN) flare, preflare estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) ≥60 mL/min and stored urine 24±3 months after the flaremedian follow-up 129 months
Participants
69 patients
Exposure
Urinary biomarker levels measured 24±3 months after an LN flare and subsequent renal outcomes
Outcome
(1) Time to a subsequent LN flare and (2) time to 30% sustained decline in eGFR

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction of subsequent LN flare (elevated UB levels)

MCP-1, HR

1.40

1.11–1.76p=0.004

CD163, HR

1.14

1.00–1.38p=0.01

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Prediction of 30% decline in eGFR

CD163, HR
1.16 (1.02-1.32), p=0.02
MCP-1, HR
1.33 (1.01-1.74), p=0.04
Adiponectin, HR
2.67 (1.68-2.46), p<0.001
PF4, HR
1.14 (1.04-1.25), p=0.002

Renal responders at 24 months (subcohort) · 24 months after LN flare

Achieved primary efficacy renal response
50
Subsequent LN flare
27 (54%)
Median time to flare (IQR), years
3.5 (1.67-6.87)
30% decline in eGFR
10 (20%)
Median time to 30% eGFR decline, years
4.38 (3.73-5.33)
Significantly lower UB levels in this subcohort

Original publication

Measurements of urinary biomarkers at 2 years following a lupus nephritis flare are associated with subsequent renal outcomes. Lupus Sci Med. Published 19 February 2026. doi:10.1136/lupus-2025-001724

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