Pediatric rheumatology

Machine learning using genotype and gene-expression data identifies alterations of genes involved in infection susceptibility, antigen presentation and cytokine signalling as key contributors to juvenile idiopathic arthritis (JIA) risk prediction

RMD OpenPublished Mechanistic study

Authors' conclusion

By applying a machine learning approach to rank SNP-gene-tissue contributions to JIA risk, our findings offer insights into the genetic mechanisms underlying JIA pathogenesis.

Study context

Population
JIA-associated single-nucleotide polymorphism (SNPs) from previous genome-wide association studies (GWAS) with spatial eQTL effects mapped across 49 human tissues
Outcome
Contribution of each SNP to JIA risk (model weight magnitudes) in a model predicting JIA disease status
Methodological detailstwo-sample Mendelian randomisation, spatial eQTLs as instrumental variables, Lasso-regularised logistic regression, 50 cross-validation runs
  • Two-sample Mendelian randomisation
  • Spatial eQTLs as instrumental variables
  • Lasso-regularised logistic regression
  • 50 cross-validation runs

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Top-ranked SNP-gene-tissue contributions to JIA risk
  • Top-ranked SNPs included rs7775055, tagging the human leukocyte antigen (HLA) class II haplotype DRB1*0801-DQA1*0401-DQB1*0402
  • Top-ranked SNPs included rs6679677, a non-coding variant in 100% linkage with a coding variant in PTPN22
  • Instrumental variables (IVs) for genes implicated in infection-related immune processes (eg, MSH5, MICA and LINC01149) made significant contributions to JIA risk
  • Spatial eQTL rs10849448 upregulated the cytokine signalling gene LTBR across all 49 tissues

Original publication

Machine learning using genotype and gene-expression data identifies alterations of genes involved in infection susceptibility, antigen presentation and cytokine signalling as key contributors to JIA risk prediction. RMD Open. Published 9 July 2025. doi:10.1136/rmdopen-2025-005737

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