Osteoarthritis

Insights into knee post-traumatic osteoarthritis pathophysiology from the relationship of serum biomarkers to radiographic features in the ADVANCE cohort

Arthritis Res TherPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

This large, unique study suggests different pathological processes underpinning each radiographic feature of PTOA, including predominant unbalanced ECM-catabolism and inflammation contributing to JSN, ECM-catabolism and increased inflammation contributing to osteophyte development and an inflammation-predominant process contributing to subchondral sclerosis.

Study context

Population
Young, male, severely injured British servicepersonnel in the ADVANCE cohort, serum and radiographs at 8 and 11 years post-injury872 analysed
Participants
1,145 participants
Outcome
Association (cross-sectional) and prediction (longitudinal) of serum biomarkers with radiographic post-traumatic osteoarthritis (PTOA) features (JSN, osteophytes, sclerosis)
Methodological detailscross-sectional and longitudinal analyses, LASSO predictor selection
  • Cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses
  • LASSO predictor selection

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Serum biomarkers and radiographic PTOA features

Higher leptin concentrations in those with joint space narrowing (JSN) (FDR-corrected q-value)

q = 0.04

COMP area under a ROC curve (AUROC) for new JSN

0.604

0.543,0.664

COMP, IL-1β and leptin AUROC for new osteophytes

0.586

0.524,0.646

TNF-α, IL-1β and adiponectin AUROC for new sclerosis

0.590

0.520,0.659

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Insights into knee post-traumatic osteoarthritis pathophysiology from the relationship of serum biomarkers to radiographic features in the ADVANCE cohort. Arthritis Res Ther. Published 5 November 2025. doi:10.1186/s13075-025-03648-y

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