Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Impact of low disease activity, remission, and complete remission on flares following tapering of corticosteroids and immunosuppressive therapy in patients with systemic lupus erythematous: a multinational cohort study

Lancet RheumatolPublished Prospective cohort study

Main finding · Flare at next visitResult — go to the resultOdds ratio 1.24 95% CI 1.10–1.39

Authors' conclusion

Tapering of corticosteroids or immunosuppressive therapy in patients with stable SLE was associated with excess flares.

Study context

Population
Adults ≥18 years with stable systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) (Lupus Low Disease Activity State (LLDAS), Definitions of Remission in SLE (DORIS) remission or complete remission) in routine clinical care, 25 sites across 13 Asia-Pacific countries, 2013–2020visits analysed
Participants
13,140 adults
Exposure
Tapering of corticosteroids or immunosuppressive therapy vs continuing the same therapy in stable SLE
  • Taperingn = 3,277
  • Same therapyn = 9,863reference
Outcome
Flare (SELENA-SLEDAI Flare Index) at the subsequent visit after drug tapering
Follow-up
Next visit
Methodological detailsmultinational, multicentre (25 sites, 13 Asia-Pacific countries), multivariable generalised estimating equations, Cox proportional hazard models
  • Multinational
  • Multicentre (25 sites, 13 Asia-Pacific countries)
  • Multivariable generalised estimating equations
  • Cox proportional hazard models

Main finding

Flare at next visit

Odds ratio

1.24

95% CI 1.10–1.39

P = 0.0005

Events by group

Taperingvs Same therapy
OR 1.24 (95% CI 1.10–1.39); P = 0.0005

As reported in the abstract

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Severe flares at next visit (proportion of flares)

OutcomeEstimateP value
Flare in 1 year by stable-disease state at taper initiation (vs complete remission)LLDASvs Complete remissionOR for flare 1.37 (95% CI 1.03–1.81)P = 0.029
Time to first flare by stable-disease state at taper initiation (vs complete remission)LLDASvs Complete remissionHR for first flare 1.24 (95% CI 1.04–1.48)P = 0.016
Time to first flare by stable-disease state at taper initiation (vs complete remission)Remissionvs Complete remissionHR for first flare 1.30 (95% CI 1.08–1.56)P = 0.0054
OutcomeOR for flare (95% CI)P value
Flare in 1 year by stable-disease state at taper initiation (vs complete remission)Remission vs Complete remission1.45 (1.08–1.94)P = 0.013
  • Flare in 1 year by stable-disease state at taper initiation (vs complete remission): LLDAS 41.1%
  • Flare in 1 year by stable-disease state at taper initiation (vs complete remission): Remission 28.4%
  • Flare in 1 year by stable-disease state at taper initiation (vs complete remission): Complete remission 30.5%
  • Flare in 1 year by stable-disease state at taper initiation (vs complete remission): per_group counts are tapering attempts initiated in each state (of 2095), not flares

Sustained LLDAS, remission or complete remission ≥6 months before taper

Associated with lower odds of flare at next visit, flares in 1 year, and longer time to flare

Original publication

Impact of low disease activity, remission, and complete remission on flares following tapering of corticosteroids and immunosuppressive therapy in patients with systemic lupus erythematous: a multinational cohort study. Lancet Rheumatol. Published 12 September 2023. doi:10.1016/s2665-9913(23)00209-6

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