Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Enhancing predictions of subclinical cardiac dysfunction in SLE patients through integrative machine learning analysis

Lupus Sci MedPublished Case-control study

Authors' conclusion

This case-control study revealed that 2D-STE parameters can be used to predict subclinical cardiac dysfunction in SLE patients, and anti-U1RNP antibodies may be an essential predictive clinical factor.

Study context

Population
Patients newly diagnosed with SLE admitted to the rheumatology and immunology department of Sun Yat-sen University, January 2020–December 2021equal number of matched controls
Comparison
Newly diagnosed SLE vs healthy controls
  • SLEn = 36
Outcome
2D-STE parameters, SLE vs controls
Methodological detailsmatched for gender and age, machine learning, multivariate regression
  • Matched for gender and age
  • Machine learning
  • Multivariate regression

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

  • Significant differences in 2D-STE parameters between SLE patients and controls
  • SLE vs Healthy controls: p-adjust<0.001
  • SLE vs Healthy controls: p-adjust=0.005
  • SLE vs Healthy controls: p-adjust=0.003

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Machine learning discrimination (GLPS-APLAX)

AUC
0.93 (95% CI: 0.89 to 0.96)
Area under the precision-recall curve
0.96

Anti-U1RNP antibodies and GLPS (multivariate regression)

GLPS coefficient
−3.71 (95% CI: −5.91 to −1.51, p=0.002)
Inverse relationship with four GLPS-related measures; significant for GLPS, GLPS-A4C and GLPS-APLAX

Original publication

Enhancing predictions of subclinical cardiac dysfunction in SLE patients through integrative machine learning analysis. Lupus Sci Med. Published 1 September 2025. doi:10.1136/lupus-2025-001616

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