Osteoarthritis

Development of a Composite Pain Sensitivity Index and Its Relationships with Knee Pain Severity and Patterns in People with or at Risk for Knee Osteoarthritis: The Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study

Osteoarthritis CartilagePublished longitudinal cohort

Main finding · WOMAC pain severity per 10-unit increase in PSI (cross-sectional)Result — go to the resultAdjusted β 0.45 95% CI 0.38–0.52

Authors' conclusion

A composite PSI combining QST measures of ascending (PPT/TS) and descending (CPM) nociceptive signaling had generally stronger associations than individual QST measures cross-sectionally, and to a lesser extent longitudinally. A composite PSI may provide better insights into capturing concurrent pain status than individual QST measures, whereas its predictive utility over time appears to be more pain outcome-specific.

Study context

Population
People with or at risk of knee osteoarthritis (OA) in the Multicenter Osteoarthritis (MOST) Studyparticipants included
Participants
2,679 people
Exposure
Composite pain sensitivity index (PSI) and individual quantitative sensory testing (QST) measures in relation to pain outcomes
Outcome
WOMAC pain severity per 10-unit increase in PSI (cross-sectional)
Methodological detailsNIH-funded, cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses over two years, log-binomial, Poisson, and linear regression models, adjusted for potential confounders
  • NIH-funded
  • Cross-sectional and longitudinal analyses over two years
  • Log-binomial, Poisson, and linear regression models
  • Adjusted for potential confounders

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Adjusted β

0.45

95% CI 0.38–0.52

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Development of constant pain by baseline PSI · 2 years

aRR (95% CI)
Baseline PSI1.18 (0.99–1.40)

Incident frequent knee pain (FKP) · 2 years

aRR (95% CI)
Baseline PSIMinimal and not statistically significant1.06 (0.98–1.14)
Wrist PPT1.05 (1.00–1.10)
OutcomeEstimate
Frequent knee pain (FKP) per 10-unit increase in PSI (cross-sectional)risk 20% greater (95% CI 1.15–1.26)
Constant pain per 10-unit increase in PSI (cross-sectional)risk 27% greater (95% CI 1.14–1.41)
WOMAC pain severity 2 years later by baseline PSIadjusted β 0.40 (95% CI 0.33–0.49)
  • Constant pain per 10-unit increase in PSI (cross-sectional): these associations were generally larger than for the individual QST measures

Original publication

Development of a Composite Pain Sensitivity Index and Its Relationships with Knee Pain Severity and Patterns in People with or at Risk for Knee Osteoarthritis: The Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study. Osteoarthritis Cartilage. Published 28 October 2026. doi:10.1016/j.joca.2026.10.012

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