Osteoarthritis

The mediation effects of malalignment on the relation of sex to the risk of incidence tibiofemoral osteoarthritis

Osteoarthritis CartilagePublished Cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Females had a higher risk of developing lateral TFROA than males; however, valgus malalignment only modestly explained such a difference.

Study context

Population
Knees without medial and lateral tibiofemoral radiographic OA in Multicenter Osteoarthritis Study (MOST) and Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI)knees in MOST
Participants
3,462 knees
Exposure
Females vs males; mediation through varus and valgus malalignment
Outcome
Incident medial and lateral TFROA; extent to which varus and valgus malalignment mediate sex differences
Follow-up
7 years
Methodological detailsmediation analysis of MOST and OAI data, two cohorts (MOST and OAI)
  • Mediation analysis of MOST and OAI data
  • Two cohorts (MOST and OAI)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident lateral TFROA (MOST)
Females vs MalesEstimate (95% CI)
Incident lateral TFROA (MOST)
RR 2.31(1.73–3.08)
Accounting for 23% of total effect
RR of indirect effect via valgus malalignment 1.15(1.09–1.20)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeRR (95% CI)
Incident lateral TFROA, OAI cohort (n = 3095 knees)1.54 (1.15–2.04)
Incident lateral tibiofemoral radiographic osteoarthritis (TFROA), OAI cohort (n = 3095 knees) — RR of indirect effect of sex on lateral TFROA through valgus malalignment, accounting for 26% of total effect
1.10 (95% CI: 1.04 to 1.21)

Incident medial TFROA, MOST cohort

No apparent sex difference in incident medial TFROA in MOST
RR = 1.05, 95% CI: 0.89 to 1.25

Incident medial TFROA, OAI cohort

No apparent sex difference in incident medial TFROA in OAI
RR = 1.02, 95% CI: 0.84 to 1.19

Original publication

The mediation effects of malalignment on the relation of sex to the risk of incidence tibiofemoral osteoarthritis. Osteoarthritis Cartilage. Published 14 June 2024. doi:10.1016/j.joca.2024.06.006

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