Rheumatoid arthritis

Soft water exposure increases the effect of genetic susceptibility on the risk of rheumatoid arthritis

Semin Arthritis RheumPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

These results suggest that exposure to hard water may reduce the risk of RA, particularly in individuals with high genetic susceptibility.

Study context

Population
Rheumatoid arthritis (RA)-free individuals with complete data on water mineral levels, genetic profiles, lifestyle factors and physical measurements at baseline5,880 new RA cases
Participants
434,958 individuals
Exposure
Higher vs lower calcium carbonate concentration in domestic water; Polygenic risk score (PRS) tertiles; combined PRS and water hardness categories
Outcome
Incident RA
Methodological detailsCox regression, stratified analyses, multiple sensitivity analyses
  • Cox regression
  • Stratified analyses
  • Multiple sensitivity analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident RA by calcium carbonate concentration in domestic water · median follow-up 15 years

Higher calcium carbonate concentration in domestic water, HR (95% CI 0.90 to 0.95; p = 1.74 × 10-9), adjusted for multiple covariates

0.93

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Incident RA by PRS: highest vs lowest tertile

Increased risk of RA in highest vs lowest PRS tertile
53 % to 74 %

Incident RA: highest PRS with soft water vs lowest PRS with very hard water

Increased risk of RA
92 % (95% CI 71 % to 115 %)

Original publication

Soft water exposure increases the effect of genetic susceptibility on the risk of rheumatoid arthritis. Semin Arthritis Rheum. Published 16 July 2025. doi:10.1016/j.semarthrit.2025.152788

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