Rheumatoid arthritis

Risk factors for interstitial lung disease in early rheumatoid arthritis and external validation of screening strategies: a cross-sectional analysis of the prospective SAIL-RA cohort in the USA

Lancet RheumatolPublished Cross-sectional analysis of the prospective SAIL-RA cohort

An erratum to this article was published (Lancet Rheumatol, Feb 2026 ↗)

Authors' conclusion

In this population with early rheumatoid arthritis, 11% had rheumatoid arthritis-associated ILD. Moderate or high disease activity and age of 60 years or older were strongly associated with rheumatoid arthritis-associated ILD in early rheumatoid arthritis. Several proposed screening strategies using factors routinely available at the point of care showed promise for detecting rheumatoid arthritis-associated ILD in early rheumatoid arthritis.

Study context

Population
Patients with early RA (within 2 years of diagnosis), five academic health-care centres in the USA; recruited May 1, 2017–Feb 22, 2024completed high-resolution CT (HRCT)
Participants
172 patients
Outcome
Presence of RA-associated ILD (independent review of HRCTs by thoracic radiologists)
Methodological detailsmulticentre (five academic health-care centres), multivariable logistic regression, external validation of screening strategies
  • Multicentre (five academic health-care centres)
  • Multivariable logistic regression
  • External validation of screening strategies

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prevalence of RA-associated ILD on HRCT

RA-associated interstitial lung disease (ILD) on HRCT

19

11%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

OutcomeaOR (95% CI)
Risk factors for RA-associated ILDModerate or high disease activity (DAS28-ESR ≥3.2)vs Remission or low disease activity7.00 (1.95–25.13)
Risk factors for RA-associated ILDAge ≥60 yearsvs Age <60 years3.87 (1.33–11.27)

Performance of screening strategies for RA-associated ILD

Lowest sensitivity: Paulin criteria (four-point cutoff), 95% CI 0.00-0.15
0.05
Highest sensitivity: ANCHOR-RA and ACR-CHEST criteria (one-factor cutoff), 95% CI 0.97-1.00
1.00
Lowest specificity: ACR-CHEST criteria (one-factor cutoff), 95% CI 0.06-0.16
0.11
Highest specificity: Paulin criteria (four-point cutoff), 95% CI 0.95-1.0
0.97
Number needed to screen to detect one case, lowest: ESPOIR criteria (two-factor cutoff)
3.6
Number needed to screen to detect one case, highest
7.7

Original publication

Risk factors for interstitial lung disease in early rheumatoid arthritis and external validation of screening strategies: a cross-sectional analysis of the prospective SAIL-RA cohort in the USA. Lancet Rheumatol. Published 14 October 2025. doi:10.1016/s2665-9913(25)00158-4

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