Fibromyalgia & musculoskeletal pain

Prediction models for treatment success after an interdisciplinary multimodal pain treatment program

Semin Arthritis RheumPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Our findings show that treatment success can be predicted using standardized patient-reported measures, exhibiting strong discriminatory power.

Study context

Population
Patients with chronic musculoskeletal pain undergoing a 10-week interdisciplinary multimodal pain treatment
Participants
2,309 patients
Outcome
IMPT success across four outcome measures: patients' recovery perspective, quality of life (physical and mental) and disability
Methodological detailsroutine care, prediction model development and internal validation
  • Routine care
  • Prediction model development and internal validation

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Prediction models for IMPT success

Interdisciplinary multimodal pain treatment (IMPT) success rates

30% to 57%

Four models incorporating predictors

33

Optimism-corrected AUC range (strong calibration, fair to good discrimination)

0.69-0.80

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Original publication

Prediction models for treatment success after an interdisciplinary multimodal pain treatment program. Semin Arthritis Rheum. Published 16 November 2024. doi:10.1016/j.semarthrit.2024.152592

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