Vasculitis & polymyalgia rheumatica

Positive predictive value of a register-based method to identify polymyalgia rheumatica in primary and secondary care: a validation study in Denmark

Scand J RheumatolPublished Validation study

Authors' conclusion

The algorithm provides a robust framework for register-based epidemiological studies of patients with PMR.

Study context

Population
Potential patients with polymyalgia rheumatica (PMR) aged ≥50 years, 2003–2024, Denmark; chart review by general practitioners (GPs) and at two secondary hospitals and one tertiary hospital in Central Denmark Region (2013–2024)
Comparison
Register-based algorithm to identify PMR in primary care (first-time GP prescription of prednisolone/prednisone) vs secondary care (PMR diagnosis code in Danish National Patient Registry (DNPR))
Outcome
PPV of a register-based algorithm for identifying patients with PMR (diagnosis confirmed through chart review)
Methodological detailsregister-based, chart review, exact binomial method
  • Register-based
  • Chart review
  • Exact binomial method

Performance

As reported in the abstract

PPV (PMR diagnosis confirmed)
Test or modelValuePPV
Primary care62% (95% CI 54–69)62%
Secondary care89% (95% CI 84–93)89%

Value

Primary care62% (95% CI 54–69)
Secondary care89% (95% CI 84–93)

PPV

Primary care62%
Secondary care89%

Further findings

PPV in primary care patients redeeming 1000-2000 mg PDN within 2 months following diagnosis (subgroup)
84% · 95% CI 76–90
PPV in secondary care patients redeeming PDN within 2 months of diagnosis (subgroup)
91% · 95% CI 86–94

Original publication

Positive predictive value of a register-based method to identify polymyalgia rheumatica in primary and secondary care: a validation study in Denmark. Scand J Rheumatol. Published 13 March 2026. doi:10.1080/03009742.2026.2628455

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