Vasculitis & polymyalgia rheumatica

Performance of clinical and histological prognostic scores for kidney survival in ANCA-associated vasculitis

Rheumatology (Oxford)Published Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The novel AKRiS enhances the prediction of kidney failure in AAV with kidney involvement.

Study context

Population
Antibodies-associated vasculitis (AAV) patients with biopsy-diagnosed kidney involvement followed for ≥12 months37 progressed to kidney failure
Participants
101 patients
Exposure
Histological classifications and prognostic scores for kidney survival
Outcome
Time to kidney failure
Methodological detailsprognostic score comparison, Harrell's C statistic and Akaike's Information Criteria
  • Prognostic score comparison
  • Harrell's C statistic and Akaike's Information Criteria

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Discrimination for kidney failure (Harrell's C statistic) · median follow-up 75 months (IQR 39-123)
GroupHarrell's C
EUVAS/Berden classification0.702 (0.620-0.784)
Mayo Clinic Chronicity Score0.606 (0.473-0.738)
Percentage of ANCA Crescentic Score (PACS)0.801 (0.736-0.867)
ANCA renal risk score (ARRS)0.782 (0.706-0.858)
ANCA kidney risk score (AKRiS)0.817 (0.749-0.885)

Harrell's C

EUVAS/Berden classification0.702 (0.620-0.784)
Mayo Clinic Chronicity Score0.606 (0.473-0.738)
Percentage of ANCA Crescentic Score (PACS)0.801 (0.736-0.867)
ANCA renal risk score (ARRS)0.782 (0.706-0.858)
ANCA kidney risk score (AKRiS)0.817 (0.749-0.885)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

AKRiS performance over follow-up

AKRiS performance decreased with longer follow-up intervals
Adding peak post-therapy eGFR improved AKRiS performance at all follow-up intervals

Kidney relapses precipitating kidney failure in cases progressing after the first year · after the first year of follow-up

Kidney relapses precipitated kidney failure
71%

Original publication

Performance of clinical and histological prognostic scores for kidney survival in ANCA-associated vasculitis. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 14 June 2024. doi:10.1093/rheumatology/keae336

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