Osteoarthritis

MicroRNA signature for early prediction of knee osteoarthritis structural progression using integrated machine and deep learning approaches

Osteoarthritis CartilagePublished Prognostic model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

This study introduces a novel miRNA prognosis model for knee OA patients at risk of structural progression.

Study context

Population
Osteoarthritis Initiative (OAI) participants with knee osteoarthritis (OA); baseline serum microRNAs (miRNAs)development set
Participants
152 participants
Comparison
Progressors vs non-progressors
  • Progressorsn = 91
  • Non-progressorsn = 61reference
Outcome
Performance (AUC, accuracy) of a miRNA prognosis model identifying knee OA structural progressors/non-progressors
Methodological detailsmachine/deep learning, Monte Carlo cross-validation, independent validation set
  • Machine/deep learning
  • Monte Carlo cross-validation
  • Independent validation set

Performance

As reported in the abstract

ANN model (age + 4 miRNAs: hsa-miR-556-3p, hsa-miR-3157-5p, hsa-miR-200a-5p, hsa-miR-141-3p), development

AUC

0.94

95% CI 0.89, 0.97

Accuracy

0.84

95% CI 0.77, 0.89

Further findings

Model validation, independent set of 30 OAI baseline plasma samples (14 progressors, 16 non-progressors)

AUC
0.81 (95% CI 0.63, 0.92)
Accuracy
0.83 (95% CI 0.66, 0.93)

Feature clustering

miRNAs selected
107
  • Elastic Net chosen for feature selection

Original publication

MicroRNA signature for early prediction of knee osteoarthritis structural progression using integrated machine and deep learning approaches. Osteoarthritis Cartilage. Published 29 November 2024. doi:10.1016/j.joca.2024.11.008

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