Osteoarthritis

Incidence of Total Knee Arthroplasty After Arthroscopic Surgery for Knee Osteoarthritis: A Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial

JAMA Netw OpenPublished Secondary analysis of a randomised controlled trial

Primary result · TKAResult — go to the resultAdjusted hazard ratio 0.85 95% CI 0.52–1.40

Authors' conclusion

In this secondary analysis of a randomized clinical trial of arthroscopic surgery for patients with OA of the knee, a statistically significant association with delaying or hastening TKA was not identified.

Study context

Population
Adults with knee osteoarthritis (OA) referred for potential arthroscopic surgery, tertiary orthopaedic centre, London, Ontario, Canadaof 277 eligible
Participants
178 adults
Comparison
Arthroscopic surgery plus nonoperative management vs nonoperative management only
  • Arthroscopic surgeryn = 92
  • Controln = 86reference
Primary endpoint
Incidence of total knee arthroplasty (TKA) (follow-up up to 20 years)
Methodological detailsad hoc secondary analysis, single-centre, assessor-blinded, linkage to Canadian health administrative datasets, multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression, Trial performed January 1, 1999, to August 31, 2007; follow-up through March 31, 2019
  • Ad hoc secondary analysis
  • Single-centre
  • Assessor-blinded
  • Linkage to Canadian health administrative datasets
  • Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression
  • Trial performed January 1, 1999, to August 31, 2007; follow-up through March 31, 2019

Primary result

TKA · median follow-up 13.8 (IQR, 8.4-16.8) years

Adjusted hazard ratio

0.85

95% CI 0.52–1.40

Events by treatment group

Arthroscopic surgeryvs Control
aHR 0.85 (95% CI 0.52–1.40)

As reported in the abstract

Further findings

OutcomeArthroscopic surgeryControlEstimate
TKA accounting for crossovers to arthroscopic surgery (13 of 86 [15.1%])HR 0.88 (95% CI 0.53–1.44)
Cumulative incidence of TKA within 5 years10.2%9.3%time-stratified HR for 0-5 years 1.06 (95% CI 0.41–2.75)
Cumulative incidence of TKA within 10 years23.3%21.4%time-stratified HR for 5-10 years 1.06 (95% CI 0.45–2.51)

Sensitivity analyses

Sensitivity analyses yielded consistent results

Original publication

Incidence of Total Knee Arthroplasty After Arthroscopic Surgery for Knee Osteoarthritis: A Secondary Analysis of a Randomized Clinical Trial. JAMA Netw Open. Published 1 April 2024. doi:10.1001/jamanetworkopen.2024.6578

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