Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Impact of belimumab on the utility of serological markers for assessing systemic lupus erythematosus activity

Lupus Sci MedPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

In SLE patients treated with BEL, the clinical utility of serological markers appears dissociated from disease activity. While C3 and C4 levels were not clearly related to disease activity or flares, low C3 levels showed a borderline association with moderate-to-severe flares, and anti-dsDNA positivity remained associated with increased flare risk

Study context

Population
Patients with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) treated with belimumab (BEL), BELILES-GEAS registrymedian drug exposure 13.2 months
Participants
371 patients
Outcome
Dynamics of C3, C4 and anti-dsDNA levels and their association with clinical activity and flares
Methodological detailslongitudinal, BELILES-GEAS registry
  • Longitudinal
  • BELILES-GEAS registry

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Association of serological markers with flare occurrence (adjusted for immunosuppressant use and prednisone dose)
Odds ratio (95% CI)
Low C3
1.31(0.82–2.09)
Low C4
1.08(0.62–1.86)
Anti-dsDNA positivity
1.81(1.09–3.01)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Low C3 and moderate-to-severe flares (stratified by flare severity)

OR (95% CI)
Low C3Borderline association1.82 (0.99–3.31)
OutcomeP value
Flare-discriminative performance (AUC-ROC)SLEDAI-2K vs cSLEDAI · AUC-ROCs 0.779 vs 0.781; similarP = 0.88

Seropositivity at baseline

Seropositive patients
70.1%

Changes over time

SLEDAI-2K and cSLEDAI scores and prednisone doses decreased significantly over time
Serum C3 and C4 levels, anti-dsDNA positivity and immunosuppressant use remained stable

Low C3 and moderate-to-severe flares (stratified by flare severity)

No significant associations for C4 or for mild flares

C3 or C4 and cSLEDAI

No association between serum C3 or C4 and cSLEDAI

Original publication

Impact of belimumab on the utility of serological markers for assessing systemic lupus erythematosus activity. Lupus Sci Med. Published 20 July 2026. doi:10.1136/lupus-2026-001980

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