Inflammatory myopathies

Identifying two pathways to poor prognosis in patients with anti-MDA5 antibodies: insights from prognostic factor and cytokines analysis

Arthritis Res TherPublished Prognostic factor study

Authors' conclusion

Two pathways leading to poor prognosis were identified in anti-MDA5-Ab-positive patients, each marked by specific cytokine abnormalities.

Study context

Population
Patients with anti-MDA5 antibodies whose serum was available31 with rapidly progressive interstitial lung disease (RP-ILD)
Participants
35 patients
Outcome
Mortality: prognostic factors, prognostic factor groups and their association with cytokine levels
Methodological detailsCox regression and log-rank test, principal component analysis, factor and cluster analyses, correlation and path analyses, multiplex bead assay of serum cytokines
  • Cox regression and log-rank test
  • Principal component analysis, factor and cluster analyses
  • Correlation and path analyses
  • Multiplex bead assay of serum cytokines

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Prognostic factors and prognostic factor groups linked to mortality

Prediction model using C-reactive protein (CRP) (Group 1) and γ-GTP (Group 2): AUC, not inferior to previously reported models

0.84

Original publication

Identifying two pathways to poor prognosis in patients with anti-MDA5 antibodies: insights from prognostic factor and cytokines analysis. Arthritis Res Ther. Published 16 April 2025. doi:10.1186/s13075-025-03558-z

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