Fibromyalgia & musculoskeletal pain
Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990–2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021
Authors' conclusion
Low back pain remains the leading cause of YLDs globally, and in 2020, there were more than half a billion prevalent cases of low back pain worldwide.
Study context
- Population
- Global population, 204 countries and territories, 1990–2020; low back pain defined as pain between the 12th ribs and the gluteal folds lasting a day or more204 countries and territories
- Outcome
- Prevalence and YLDs for low back pain
Methodological detailsnested Bayesian meta-regression, network meta-regression for alternative definitions, projections to 2050
- Nested Bayesian meta-regression
- Network meta-regression for alternative definitions
- Projections to 2050
Main finding
As reported in the abstract
2020
Prevalent cases, global, 2020
619 million
95% UI 554–694
Age-standardised YLD rate, global, 2020
832 per 100 000
95% UI 578–1070
Further findings
Projected prevalent cases, global · 2050
- Projected prevalent cases
- 843 million (UI 759-933)
Change in age-standardised rates, 1990–2020
- Decrease in age-standardised prevalence rate (10.9-10.0)
- 10.4%
- Decrease in age-standardised YLD rate (11.1-10.0)
- 10.5%
Years lived with disability (YLDs) attributable to occupational factors, smoking and high BMI
- Proportion of YLDs attributable (28.7-47.0)
- 38.8%
Original publication
Global, regional, and national burden of low back pain, 1990–2020, its attributable risk factors, and projections to 2050: a systematic analysis of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. Lancet Rheumatol. Published 22 May 2023. doi:10.
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