Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Fragility of randomised controlled trials for systemic lupus erythematosus and lupus nephritis therapies

Lupus Sci MedPublished Systematic review of randomised controlled trials

Authors' conclusion

The evidence of therapies for patients with SLE and LN is derived mostly from fragile RCTs.

Study context

Population
Phase III randomised controlled trials (RCTs) that included patients with active SLE or lupus nephritis (LN)RCTs (16 SLE, four LN)
Participants
20 participants
Outcome
FI/RFI score across all RCTs
Methodological detailsfragility analysis, phase III RCTs, fragility index, reverse fragility index, fragility quotient
  • Fragility analysis
  • Phase III RCTs
  • Fragility index
  • Reverse fragility index
  • Fragility quotient

Pooled result

As reported in the abstract

Mean fragility index (FI)/reverse FI (RFI) score (SD 6.6)

13.6

Further pooled results

FI in RCTs with statistically significant results (9 RCTs: seven SLE, two LN)

Mean FI score (SD 6.2)
10.2
Lowest FI: ILLUMINATE-2
2
Highest FI: BLISS-52
17

RFI in RCTs with non-statistically significant results (12 studies: 10 SLE, two LN)

Mean RFI score (SD 6.1)
15.6
Lowest RFI: ILLUMINATE-1
4
Highest RFI: TULIP-1
27

Fragility quotient (FQ) score

Lowest FQ scores in the ILLUMINATE trials; highest in the Rituximab trials (EXPLORER and LUNAR), the most robust results after accounting for sample size

Parts of this Brief are withheld: the automatic checks could not confirm them against the abstract.

Original publication

Fragility of randomised controlled trials for systemic lupus erythematosus and lupus nephritis therapies. Lupus Sci Med. Published 10 January 2024. doi:10.1136/lupus-2023-001068

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