Rheumatoid arthritis

The equivocal opposite effects of lower and higher body mass index at diagnosis on radiographic joint damage progression in early rheumatoid arthritis: an inception cohort study over 15 years

RMD OpenPublished Prospective inception cohort study

Authors' conclusion

BMI is one of the determinants of radiographic progression in early RA. Lower and higher BMI have opposite effects on radiographic progression.

Study context

Population
Early rheumatoid arthritis (RA) inception cohort (Better AntiRheumatic FarmacoTherapy cohort)
Participants
1,813 participants
Exposure
Baseline Body Mass Index (BMI) categories vs normal weight
Outcome
Radiographic damage progression (mTSS, ES, JSN) of hands and feet
Follow-up
15 years
Methodological detailsobservational, 15-year follow-up, curve estimation regression, multivariate mixed models
  • Observational
  • 15-year follow-up
  • Curve estimation regression
  • Multivariate mixed models

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

mTSS progression per year

Beta

0.946 per year

95% CI 0.902–0.995P = 0.029

BMI ≥30 kg/m² · less severe mTSS progression

Beta

1.091 per year

95% CI 1.019–1.169P = 0.014

BMI ≤20 kg/m² · more joint damage

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Erosion score (ES), joint space narrowing (JSN) and ACPA-positive patients

Findings confirmed in separate analyses of ES and JSN, and in ACPA-positive patients

Association of mTSS change with CRP, ESR and Disease Activity Score (DAS28)

Effect sizes declined over time and varied across BMI strata, indicating effect modification by BMI

BMI ≥27 kg/m²

Results largely mirrored those in BMI ≥30 kg/m²

Original publication

The equivocal opposite effects of lower and higher body mass index at diagnosis on radiographic joint damage progression in early rheumatoid arthritis: an inception cohort study over 15 years. RMD Open. Published 31 July 2025. doi:10.1136/rmdopen-2025-005784

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