Rheumatoid arthritis

Does Adding Single‐Nucleotide Polymorphisms to Risk Algorithms Improve Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction in Rheumatoid Arthritis? An Internal and External Validation of a Clinical Risk Score

Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken)Published Prognostic model development and validation study

Authors' conclusion

Several SNPs were associated with CVD in RA. Risk prediction slightly improved after adding SNPs to the models, but the clinical relevance is debatable.

Study context

Population
Patients with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) genotyped for sixty single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs)99 with cardiovascular disease (CVD)
Participants
353 patients
Comparison
Clinical CVD risk prediction model vs model including SNPs
Outcome
New CVD; additional predictive value of SNPs for CVD risk prediction
Methodological detailsinternal validation, external validation, logistic and Cox regression
  • Internal validation
  • External validation
  • Logistic and Cox regression

Performance

As reported in the abstract

CVD risk prediction (AUC)
Test or modelAUCAUC, internal validation
Clinical model0.74 (P = 0.03)0.76 (P < 0.01)
SNP model0.77 (P < 0.01)— not stated in the abstract

AUC

Clinical model0.74 (P = 0.03)
SNP model0.77 (P < 0.01)

AUC, internal validation

Clinical model0.76 (P < 0.01)
SNP model— not stated in the abstract

— not stated in the abstract

Further findings

SNPs associated with new CVD

rs3184504, rs4773144, rs12190287 and rs445925 significantly associated with new CVD

External validation (separate cohort, n = 297)

Good fit for the clinical model, poor fit for the SNP model

Original publication

Does Adding Single‐Nucleotide Polymorphisms to Risk Algorithms Improve Cardiovascular Disease Risk Prediction in Rheumatoid Arthritis? An Internal and External Validation of a Clinical Risk Score. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). Published 23 July 2024. doi:10.1002/acr.25382

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