Spondyloarthritis & psoriatic arthritis

Different disease activity trajectories in early axial spondyloarthritis lead to significantly different long-term outcomes: a trajectory-based analysis of the DESIR cohort over 10 years

RMD OpenPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

The k-means method revealed distinct disease activity trajectories in axSpA. Higher disease activity trajectories were associated with a higher prevalence of fibromyalgia and poorer outcomes, except for structural progression, which was comparable across trajectories.

Study context

Population
Patients with early (recent-onset) axial spondyloarthritis (axSpA) in the DESIR cohort with at least three Axial Spondylitis Disease Activity Score (ASDAS) values, followed for 10 years
Participants
601 patients
Exposure
ASDAS disease activity trajectories over 10 years
Outcome
ASDAS disease activity trajectories and their impact on long-term outcomes (TNFi exposure, structural progression, function, quality of life, sick leave, CV events)
Follow-up
10 years
Methodological detailsmulticentre, trajectory-based analysis, k-means clustering, multinomial multivariable regression
  • Multicentre
  • Trajectory-based analysis
  • K-means clustering
  • Multinomial multivariable regression

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

ASDAS trajectories
  • Five ASDAS trajectories identified: tA, tD, tB, tC, tE
  • tA more likely male, university degree, white-collar jobs, HLA B27 positive, less fibromyalgia

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Long-term outcomes, tE vs lower ASDAS trajectory

Bath Ankylosing Spondylitis Functional Index (BASFI), tE vs lower ASDAS trajectory
50/100 vs 7/100
TNF inhibitors (TNFi) exposure, tE vs lower ASDAS trajectory
74% vs 29%
Cardiovascular (CV) events, tE vs lower ASDAS trajectory
5.7% vs 0

Structural progression

Low but comparable across trajectories, except higher sacroiliac joint progression in tB

Original publication

Different disease activity trajectories in early axial spondyloarthritis lead to significantly different long-term outcomes: a trajectory-based analysis of the DESIR cohort over 10 years. RMD Open. Published 22 December 2024. doi:10.1136/rmdopen-2024-004910

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