Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Circulating neutrophil extracellular trap remnants as a biomarker to predict outcomes in lupus nephritis

Lupus Sci MedPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Elastase-DNA and HMGB1-DNA complexes predict renal outcomes

Study context

Population
Patients with active lupus nephritis (LN) flare (LN cohort) and an exploratory cohort of active systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), inactive SLE and healthy controlsLN cohort
Participants
109 patients
Exposure
Higher vs lower baseline serum neutrophil extracellular trap (NET) remnant levels at LN flare
  • Active SLEn = 49
  • Inactive SLEn = 23
  • Healthy controls (HC)n = 20reference
Outcome
Renal outcomes (not achieving complete remission; progression to severe renal impairment) predicted by NET remnant levels at LN flare
Follow-up
24 months
Methodological detailsprospectively followed cohorts, exploratory cohort and separate LN cohort
  • Prospectively followed cohorts
  • Exploratory cohort and separate LN cohort

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Not achieving complete remission at 24 months after flare, by higher baseline NET remnant levels (LN cohort)

OR for not achieving complete remission

2.34

P = 0.007

Higher baseline Elastase-DNA

OR for not achieving complete remission

2.61

P = 0.009

Higher baseline HMGB1-DNA

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Progression to severe renal impairment, per higher baseline NET remnants · 24 months after the flare

ORP value
Higher baseline Elastase-DNA2.84P = 0.006
Higher baseline HMGB1-DNA2.04P = 0.02
OutcomeP value
NET remnants, SLE vs HC (exploratory cohort)Significantly higher in SLEP < 0.0001 for both complexes
NET remnants, active LN vs active SLE without LN (exploratory cohort)Active LN vs Active SLE without LN · significantly higher in active LN (36%)Elastase-DNA: p=0.03
NET remnants, active LN vs active SLE without LN (exploratory cohort)Active LN vs Active SLE without LNHMGB1-DNA: p=0.02
NET remnants, proliferative vs non-proliferative LN (LN cohort)Proliferative LN vs Non-proliferative LN · significantly higher in proliferative LNElastase-DNA: p<0.0001
NET remnants, proliferative vs non-proliferative LN (LN cohort)Proliferative LN vs Non-proliferative LNHMGB1-DNA: p=0.0003

Original publication

Circulating neutrophil extracellular trap remnants as a biomarker to predict outcomes in lupus nephritis. Lupus Sci Med. Published 4 January 2024. doi:10.1136/lupus-2023-001038

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