Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Biomarker-stratified efficacy and safety of biologics in systemic lupus erythematosus: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Lupus Sci MedPublished Systematic review and meta-analysis of randomised trials

Pooled result · SRI-4 response, biomarker-stratifiedResult — go to the resultRelative risk 1.26 95% CI 1.19–1.33

Authors' conclusion

Serologically active disease and high baseline disease activity significantly predict biologic therapy response with zero heterogeneity, while IGS showed inconsistent predictive value.

Study context

Population
Adult systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients in randomised controlled trials (RCTs) of biologics (January 2000-October 2025)
Participants
17,374 patients31 RCTs
Comparison
Biologics vs control in adult SLE
Outcome
SRI-4 response and time-to-flare
Methodological detailsrandom-effects meta-analysis, stratified by interferon gene signature (IGS), serologic activity and high disease activity, false discovery rate correction for multiple comparisons
  • Random-effects meta-analysis
  • Stratified by IGS, serologic activity and high disease activity
  • False discovery rate correction for multiple comparisons

Pooled result

SRI-4 response, biomarker-stratified

Relative risk

1.26

95% CI 1.19–1.33

P < 0.0001

Biologicsvs Control
RR 1.26 (95% CI 1.19–1.33); P < 0.0001

As reported in the abstract

Serologically active disease: RR
1.45 (95% CI 1.28 to 1.63, p<0.0001, I²=0%, NNT=6.5)
High baseline Systemic Lupus Erythematosus Disease Activity Index (SLEDAI) ≥10: RR
1.22 (95% CI 1.13 to 1.32, I²=0%)
IGS, non-significant trends: RR
1.39 (95% CI 0.97 to 2.00, p=0.074, I²=68.5%)

Further pooled results

SRI-4 response, anti-BAFF agents

Anti-BAFF agents, consistent benefit: RR
1.35 (95% CI 1.26 to 1.45)
  • Efficacy varied by mechanism

Safety

OutcomeRRP value
Serious adverse eventsLupus flares contribute to SAE counts0.90P = 0.009
Herpes zoster1.19P = 0.017

Original publication

Biomarker-stratified efficacy and safety of biologics in systemic lupus erythematosus: a systematic review and meta-analysis. Lupus Sci Med. Published 11 March 2026. doi:10.1136/lupus-2025-001920

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