Lupus & antiphospholipid syndrome

Beyond glomeruli: interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy predict poor renal outcomes in lupus nephritis

Arthritis Res TherPublished Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Moderate-to-severe IFTA was a strong predictor of renal non-response and ESRD progression. TII defined according to the NIH activity index, which does not include systematic assessment of tubulitis or total cortical inflammatory burden, was not independently associated with outcomes.

Study context

Population
Lupus nephritis (LN) patients with renal biopsy episodes
Participants
135 patients195 renal biopsy episodes
Exposure
Moderate-to-severe NIH-TII and interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy (IFTA) in LN renal biopsies and their association with renal outcomes
Outcome
Prevalence, associated factors and prognostic performance of NIH-TII and IFTA for renal outcomes (non-renal response, ESRD progression)
Methodological detailsmultivariable logistic regression, multivariable Cox regression, longitudinal analyses
  • Multivariable logistic regression
  • Multivariable Cox regression
  • Longitudinal analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Moderate-to-severe IFTA predicting non-renal response (multivariable logistic regression), OR
4.92
Prior LN episodes predicting non-renal response (multivariable logistic regression), OR
8.4
Moderate-to-severe IFTA predicting ESRD progression (multivariable Cox regression), HR
8.93
Prior LN episodes predicting ESRD progression (multivariable Cox regression), HR
8.55
Thrombotic microangiopathy predicting ESRD progression (multivariable Cox regression), HR
12.99

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Prevalence of tubulointerstitial lesions among renal biopsies

Class IV LN (most frequent)
49.2%
Tubulointerstitial involvement
74.3%
Isolated NIH-TII
14.4%
Isolated IFTA
15.9%
Both NIH-TII and IFTA
44.1%
Moderate-to-severe NIH-TII
11.3%
Moderate-to-severe IFTA
15.9%

Longitudinal change in IFTA

Frequent progression of IFTA over time with increasing chronicity index

Original publication

Beyond glomeruli: interstitial fibrosis and tubular atrophy predict poor renal outcomes in lupus nephritis. Arthritis Res Ther. Published 21 March 2026. doi:10.1186/s13075-026-03799-6

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