Gout & crystal arthritis

Association between combined exposure to ambient air pollutants, genetic risk, and incident gout risk: A prospective cohort study in the UK Biobank

Semin Arthritis RheumPublished Prospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

Long-term exposure to air pollutants, particularly among the elderly population, is associated with an increased risk of gout.

Study context

Population
Initially gout-free participants enrolled in the UK Biobank7,927 incident gout cases
Participants
458,884 participants
Exposure
Per IQR increase in long-term exposure to air pollutants (NO2, NOx, PM10, PMcoarse, PM2.5) and air pollution score
Outcome
Incident gout
Follow-up
Median 12.0 years
Methodological detailsUK Biobank, land use regression model, weighted air pollution score, Cox proportional hazards model, interaction and stratification analyses, mediation analyses
  • UK Biobank
  • Land use regression model
  • Weighted air pollution score
  • Cox proportional hazards model
  • Interaction and stratification analyses
  • Mediation analyses

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident gout per IQR increase in pollutant
Hazard ratio (95 % CI)P value
NO2 (per IQR increase)
1.05(1.02–1.08)
P = 0.003
NOx (per IQR increase)
1.04(1.01–1.06)
P = 0.003
PM2.5 (per IQR increase)
1.03(1.00–1.06)
P = 0.030

Per IQR increase, as printed

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Air pollution score and gout risk, stratified by age (subgroup)

HR (95 % CI)P value
Air pollution score, age ≥60 years1.05 (1.02–1.09)P = 0.005
OutcomeP value
Air pollution score and gout risk, stratified by age (subgroup)Air pollution score, age <60 years · not significantP = 0.793
Air pollution score and gout risk, stratified by age (subgroup) — Interaction with age
p-interaction=0.009

Mediation by serum biomarkers (proportion mediated)

%

SUA
15.87
VITD
5.04
LDLD
3.34
GGT
1.90
AST
1.56

Original publication

Association between combined exposure to ambient air pollutants, genetic risk, and incident gout risk: A prospective cohort study in the UK Biobank. Semin Arthritis Rheum. Published 30 March 2024. doi:10.1016/j.semarthrit.2024.152445

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