Systemic sclerosis & Raynaud's

A Multimodal Prediction Model for Diagnosing Pulmonary Hypertension in Systemic Sclerosis

Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken)Published Retrospective diagnostic prediction model study

Authors' conclusion

In patients with SSc, a random forest model can aid in the detection of PH with high sensitivity and specificity and may allow for better patient selection for RHC, thereby minimizing patient risk.

Study context

Population
Patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) evaluated for pulmonary hypertension (PH) by right heart catheterization; models using pulmonary function testing, ECG, echocardiography and CT data66 (50.8%) with PH
Participants
130 patients
Comparison
Random forest vs classification and regression tree vs logistic regression for predicting PH
Outcome
Presence of PH diagnosed by right heart catheterization
Methodological detailsinternal validation (train-test split)
  • Internal validation (train-test split)

Performance

As reported in the abstract

Diagnostic performance for PH (best model)
Test or modelAUCSensitivitySpecificity
Random forest0.92 (95% CI 0.83-1.00)0.95 (95% CI 0.75-1.00)0.80 (95% CI 0.56-0.94)

Random forest

AUC0.92 (95% CI 0.83-1.00)
Sensitivity0.95 (95% CI 0.75-1.00)
Specificity0.80 (95% CI 0.56-0.94)

Original publication

A Multimodal Prediction Model for Diagnosing Pulmonary Hypertension in Systemic Sclerosis. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). Published 18 January 2023. doi:10.1002/acr.24969

Composed by AI from the published abstract and checked against it. How Briefs are made →

Get them every week

New studies on this topic in My Week and in your Monday e-mail.

We e-mail you a sign-in link and a code. No password, no spam.