Rheumatoid arthritis

The added value of predictive biomarkers in treat-to-target strategies for rheumatoid arthritis patients: a conceptual modelling study

Rheumatology (Oxford)Published Modelling study

Main finding · Time in LDA or remissionResult — go to the resultDifference 2.9 months

Authors' conclusion

The use of a biomarker for prediction of response to b/tsDMARD treatment in RA can be of added value to current treat-to-target clinical care. However, gains in efficacy are modest and cost gains are depending on a combination of early proactive tapering and high medication costs.

Study context

Population
RA patients starting biologic therapy (modelled)
Comparison
Biomarker-steered strategy vs usual care T2T strategy
Outcome
Time spent in remission or low disease activity (LDA), and costs
Follow-up
48 months
Methodological detailsMarkov model, scenario analyses
  • Markov model
  • Scenario analyses

Main finding

Time in LDA or remission

Difference

2.9 months

As reported in the abstract

Further findings

Total costs · 48 months · base model

Total costs — Treatment costs share of total costs, both scenarios
91%

Scenario analyses (cost-effectiveness drivers)

Cost-effectiveness not so much driven by costs or test characteristics of the biomarker (scenarios 1/2), but by level of early proactive tapering and drug costs (scenarios 3/4)

Original publication

The added value of predictive biomarkers in treat-to-target strategies for rheumatoid arthritis patients: a conceptual modelling study. Rheumatology (Oxford). Published 20 December 2022. doi:10.1093/rheumatology/keac709

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