Rheumatoid arthritis

Risk factors for incident atrial fibrillation in rheumatoid arthritis patients: A population based cohort study

Semin Arthritis RheumPublished Retrospective cohort study

Main finding · Incident AF, adjusted for age, sex, year, smoking and obesityResult — go to the resultHazard ratio 1.10 95% CI 0.92–1.33

Authors' conclusion

Adverse cardiovascular risk profile and RA disease severity significantly increased the risk of AF among patients with RA.

Study context

Population
Residents of 8 southern MN counties aged ≥18 years with rheumatoid arthritis (RA) (1990–2019) and matched non-RA comparators (mean age 55.9 years, 68.5% female)mean age 55.9 years
Participants
1,899 vs 1,899
Exposure
RA vs matched non-RA comparators
  • RAn = 1,899
  • Non-RAn = 1,899reference
Outcome
Incident AF (defined using an electronic algorithm)
Methodological detailspopulation-based, inception cohort, matched on age, sex, year and county
  • Population-based
  • Inception cohort
  • Matched on age, sex, year and county

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Incident AF, adjusted for age, sex, year, smoking and obesity

Hazard ratio

1.10

95% CI 0.92–1.33

RAvs Non-RA
HR 1.10 (95% CI 0.92–1.33)

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

10-year cumulative incidence of AF

OutcomeHR (95% CI)
Incident AF in severe RA (erosions/destructive changes, nodules, or severe extra-articular manifestations in first year)Severe RAvs Non-RA1.46 (1.09–1.94)

Risk factors for incident atrial fibrillation (AF) within RA

Age, HR per 10-year increase
2.29 (95% CI 2.05-2.56)
Male sex, HR
1.57 (95% CI 1.22-2.03)
Former smoking, HR
1.35 (95% CI 1.01-1.81)
Current smoking, HR
2.16 (95% CI 1.51-3.09)
Obesity, HR
1.83 (95% CI 1.42-2.37)
Diabetes, HR
1.54 (95% CI 1.09-2.17)
Hypertension, HR
1.60 (95% CI 1.20-2.13)
Rheumatoid nodules, HR
1.77 (95% CI 1.23-2.55)
Large joint swelling, HR
1.32 (95% CI 1.01-1.73)
Severe extra-articular manifestations, HR
1.88 (95% CI 1.17-3.02)

Original publication

Risk factors for incident atrial fibrillation in rheumatoid arthritis patients: A population based cohort study. Semin Arthritis Rheum. Published 7 November 2025. doi:10.1016/j.semarthrit.2025.152866

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