Referral Patterns for People With Musculoskeletal Complaints in General Practice: An Analysis From an Australian Primary Care Database

Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken)Published Retrospective cohort study

Authors' conclusion

One-third of patients receive, and two-thirds of GPs make, referrals for musculoskeletal complaints.

Study context

Population
Patients with low back (≥18 years old) or neck, shoulder and/or knee (≥45 years old) complaints seen by Australian general practitioners (GPs), 2014 through 2018
Participants
133,279 patients4,538 GPs269 practices
Outcome
Referrals to allied health and medical and/or surgical specialists: number of patients with referrals and GPs who made referrals, timing, associations and trends over time
Methodological detailslongitudinal analysis, primary care database (Population Level Analysis Reporting (POLAR))
  • Longitudinal analysis
  • Primary care database (POLAR)

Main finding

As reported in the abstract

Referral patterns

Patients who received at least one referral

43,666

33%

GPs who made at least one referral

3,053

67%

Referrals to allied health

n = 25,830, 19%

Referrals to surgeons

n = 18,805, 14%

Observational data: associations, not effects.

Further findings

Surgical referrals by body region

Knee complaints
n = 6,140, 24%
Low back, neck and shoulder complaints
range 8%-15%

Time to allied health referral

Days

Neck complaints, median (IQR)
14 (0-125 days)
Knee complaints, median (IQR)
56 (5-177 days)

Time to surgical referral, knee complaints (sooner)

Knee complaints, median (IQR)
15 days, IQR 0-128 days

Annual trend in referrals across all sites

Annual increase in proportion of allied health referrals
2.2% (95% CI 1.9%-2.4%)
Annual decrease in surgical referrals
1.9% (95% CI 1.6%-2.1%)

Determinants of referral category

Varied predominantly by body region, followed by gender, socioeconomic status and primary health network

Original publication

Referral Patterns for People With Musculoskeletal Complaints in General Practice: An Analysis From an Australian Primary Care Database. Arthritis Care Res (Hoboken). Published 12 February 2024. doi:10.1002/acr.25299

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